Joe Biden trails Donald Trump in five of six swing states, poll shows – US politics live

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Donald Trump is expected this morning to make a rare appearance on the witness stand in the civil fraud trial of his family business.

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The trial in New York City is one of the many civil and criminal legal entanglements the president is caught up in. At stake here is his family business, the Trump Organization, which a judge could levy major penalties against, depending on the outcome of the trial.

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Follow our live blog for the latest on his testimony:

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Good morning, US politics blog readers. Democrats were rattled yesterday when the New York Times and Siena College published a poll showing Joe Biden trailing Donald Trump in five of the six swing states that are expected to decide the election next year. Voters surveyed thought the former president was a better bet to handle the economy, immigration and national security, all issues Biden has made priorities of his administration, while a massive 71% thought he was “too old” to continue doing the job. We are still a year away from election day and voter sentiment could change dramatically, but the poll was a high-quality one and exactly the sort an incumbent does not want to receive as they kick off their re-election bid.

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But next year’s election will be like no other because Trump – the presumptive nominee – is facing four separate criminal indictments, and the Times said today that if he is convicted and sentenced, that could swing voter sentiment by about six percentage points, enough to deliver key states to Biden. The trial most likely to be resolved before election day is the politically potent proceedings against Trump for trying to overturn the 2020 election, which will take place in Washington DC and currently has a start date of 4 March.

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Here’s what else we are watching today:

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    n

  • Trump is expected to take the stand in the civil fraud trial of his family business, where he will face hostile questioning about his business empire in open court. We have a live blog on that.

  • n

  • Antony Blinken is in Turkey, the latest stop on a tour of the Middle East this weekend that included visits to Iraq and the West Bank, all aimed at dealing with Israel’s invasion of Gaza. Follow our live blog for the latest news on the conflict.

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  • Amtrak will get its moment in the spotlight when Biden pays a visit to the passenger railway’s employees today in Delaware and touts “Bidenomics”, the term his administration has dubbed for his economic accomplishments that is not exactly catching on with voters. The president makes public remarks at 1.15pm eastern time.

  • n

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Key events

How is Donald Trump coping with the scrutiny and pressure of his ongoing civil fraud trial? The Guardian’s Hugo Lowell looked into it, and here’s what he found:

Donald Trump has appeared at times angrily under siege as he stews over his predicament in the New York civil fraud case, according to people close to the former president, particularly furious in recent weeks with the witness testimony that could result in the end of the Trump Organization empire.

The rulings from the presiding New York state supreme court justice Arthur Engoron, who found that Trump and co-defendants were liable for fraud and ordered all of Trump’s adult children to testify at the ongoing trial, for instance, have taken a toll.

“So sad to see my sons being PERSECUTED in a political Witch Hunt by this out of control, publicity seeking, New York State Judge, on a case that should have NEVER been brought,” Trump partially wrote in one Truth Social post. “Legal Scholars Scream Disgrace!”

And Trump was furious when the judge imposed a gag order against him in the New York case, as well as when the judge enforced $15,000 in fines last week after deciding that Trump violated its prohibitions by assailing the judge’s law clerk.

But Trump appears to have been otherwise content with his legal situation, including with the multiple criminal cases that are marching towards trial, the people said – an observation that the playbook he reverts to when feeling threatened, to attack and delay, has lately been successful.

Donald Trump set to appear on witness stand in civil fraud trial

Donald Trump is expected this morning to make a rare appearance on the witness stand in the civil fraud trial of his family business.

The trial in New York City is one of the many civil and criminal legal entanglements the president is caught up in. At stake here is his family business, the Trump Organization, which a judge could levy major penalties against, depending on the outcome of the trial.

Follow our live blog for the latest on his testimony:

Biden trails Trump in five of six swing states, poll shows, but conviction could change the game

Good morning, US politics blog readers. Democrats were rattled yesterday when the New York Times and Siena College published a poll showing Joe Biden trailing Donald Trump in five of the six swing states that are expected to decide the election next year. Voters surveyed thought the former president was a better bet to handle the economy, immigration and national security, all issues Biden has made priorities of his administration, while a massive 71% thought he was “too old” to continue doing the job. We are still a year away from election day and voter sentiment could change dramatically, but the poll was a high-quality one and exactly the sort an incumbent does not want to receive as they kick off their re-election bid.

But next year’s election will be like no other because Trump – the presumptive nominee – is facing four separate criminal indictments, and the Times said today that if he is convicted and sentenced, that could swing voter sentiment by about six percentage points, enough to deliver key states to Biden. The trial most likely to be resolved before election day is the politically potent proceedings against Trump for trying to overturn the 2020 election, which will take place in Washington DC and currently has a start date of 4 March.

Here’s what else we are watching today:

  • Trump is expected to take the stand in the civil fraud trial of his family business, where he will face hostile questioning about his business empire in open court. We have a live blog on that.

  • Antony Blinken is in Turkey, the latest stop on a tour of the Middle East this weekend that included visits to Iraq and the West Bank, all aimed at dealing with Israel’s invasion of Gaza. Follow our live blog for the latest news on the conflict.

  • Amtrak will get its moment in the spotlight when Biden pays a visit to the passenger railway’s employees today in Delaware and touts “Bidenomics”, the term his administration has dubbed for his economic accomplishments that is not exactly catching on with voters. The president makes public remarks at 1.15pm eastern time.



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